The problem however is: what happens if we call and miss? It will be very difficult to know if we’re in front or behind. Now the odds of flopping a set are more than 7:1, and calling $50 for a $75 pot gives us 1.5:1 pot odds in summary we have negative pot odds. We have 99 in Big Blind and a late player raises the pot $75. However situations are not always this simple as we shall see below.Ģnd Situation: We’re sat in a tournament with $300 and the blinds are $10/$25. Most decent-ish players would have known to move all-in preflop. This example was fortunately quite simple. In conclusion, it would make more sense to move all-in preflop in terms of EV than to flat-call and hope to hit the flop. Our hand odds are now 1:1 and our pot odds are at least 1:1, but with the added factor of fold equity over our opponent. If we 3bet preflop however, instead of flat-calling and move our $1000 stack all-in, we would be guaranteed to see at least 5 cards, and that gives us a 50% chance of making a pair. Along with this, if we miss the flop we will be forced to fold or move all-in (as we are pot committed). You are getting around 1.5:1 pot odds, with around 2:1 hand odds to call for the flop. Looking at the maths, if we call $400 we will only have $600 left with about a 33$ chance of hitting a pair. You hold a premium hand AK and a player raises $400 preflop.
This guide will provide a few examples of how easily it is to become pot committed during a hand.Įxample of Moving All-in Preflop More +EV than Becoming Pot-Committed:ġst Situation: We’re sat in a tournament with a stack of $1,000 (blinds are $50/$100). However, very often in tournaments, especially against LAG and aggressive players, shoving all-in from EP pre-flop is better +EV and gives you better pot odds than becoming pot-committed by calling. Sometime it may be better EV calling in the hope of a poor hand being improved down the line. This leaves zero “wiggle” room for backing down on missed streets and basically means you need to decide beforehand whether it’s worth it or not. An M-ratio of 15 makes a player pot-committed just by calling a 3bet for example (12xBBs). This is particularly relevant for tournaments where the blinds are so high that you get committed to the hand pre-flop. High volume tournament players will be used to playing hands that effectively become “points of no return.” What are these? A point of no return is where you end up getting committed to a pot due to the amount of chips you put in.
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